Wednesday 11 February 2015

Delhi Elections - Vibrant Democracy

The spectacular & landslide victory of Arvind Kejriwal has many messages which are to be read between the lines. Keeping aside the sarcastic & confrontational election campaign, the elections were the 1st real challenge to the Modi-Shah duo. The Modi juggernaut which seemed invincible & unstoppable had to bite the dust. Haryana, Maharashtra, Jharkhand & JK were won handsomely mainly on two factors, Anti-Incumbency & Modi mania. In all of these elections, BJP simply banked on Modi's face. The local leadership was irrelevant. BJP could raise it's voteshare by 10-15% & could win the elections with comfortable majority.
Well the analysis given above doesn't excite the common man, it's of more interest to the TV Channel Political analysts. But the main clinching point here is that Modi-Shah duo got the message that public opinion cannot be taken for granted. The trust which the public has on the government is governed by the principles of mutuality. The trust has to be reciprocal. 10 months back BJP had lead in 60/70 Assembly segments. So something must've definitely changed that the results have just become opposite. Political analysis will go on but the point here is that Modi Government got a message that public trust is always subject to governments' actions & not its speeches. In a democracy, we've no option but to respect public mandate but my personal opinion is that I think people are unnecessarily getting impatient & restless. In my opinion, victory of AAP signifies win of populism over governance. AAPs freebie culture is in stark contrast to the principles of sustainable governance.
AAPs win has exposed the fragility of our democracy. With the same vote share as that in 2013 assembly elections, BJP got decimated & reduced to 3 seats. This fragility was also exhibited in LS Elections where BJP swept UP with 73 / 80 seats by having just 40% voteshare. This means in layman's term that with same number of people trusting you, your electoral presence in parliament can vary drastically.
So to conclude, the biggest takeaway of this election was that our democracy is very much vibrant. But it is too fragile because of its voteshare-to-seat conversion volatility. Let's just hope that these anomalies will be corrected in the future. And we get rid of this freebie culture. The ultimate aim of democracy is sustainable governance & rule of the people. I'm sure we'll achieve it.